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Friday, August 31, 2007

Sen. Warner (R-VA) Will Retire

It's official. This means that popular former Gov. Mark Warner (D-VA) becomes the likely next senator if he runs, as expected. There are now six Senate races where Democrats stand a very decent chance of picking up seats:
Colorado - Sen. Wayne Allard (R) is retiring; Rep. Mark Udall (D) takes on former Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).

Maine - Sen. Susan Collins (R) looks vulnerable to Rep. Tom Allen (D).

Minnesota - Sen. Norm Coleman (R) is on shaky ground against a wide open field that includes Al Franken (D).

New Hampshire - Sen. John Sununu (R) is in real trouble if former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) gets in.

- Sen. Gordon Smith (R) has a tough race against Oregon House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D).

- Sen. John Warner (R) is retiring; it will probably be Mark Warner (D) against Rep. Tom Davis (R), former Sen. George Allen (R), or former Gov. Jim Gilmore (R). [UPDATE: Rep Davis has officially declared.]
2nd UPDATE: Stuart Rothenberg now rates Colorado, Virginia and New Hampshire as "toss up" races and Maine, Minnesota and Oregon as "narrow advantage to incumbent party." The only Democratic seat in either category is Louisiana, where Rothenberg says that Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) has a "narrow advantage." Her probably opponent is state treasurer John Kennedy (R), who just switched parties.


At August 31, 2007 7:53 PM , sandman said...

Jeff Merkley just finished leading an impressive progressive session here in Oregon, pushing great bills through for the environment, equal rights, and the economy. Gordon Smith definitely has his work cut out for him.

At August 31, 2007 10:42 PM , maloney said...

FYI, Merkley hasn't clinched the Democratic nomination in Oregon. There's still a Primary to be had and I wouldn't count Steve Novick out quite yet.

He's got, in my opinion, a better chance at beating Smith in the General than Merkley. It's too bad the DSCC has stepped in already and is trying to play "Kingmaker."

At September 1, 2007 5:27 PM , Emily said...

When Oregon voters look at Smith's voting record, it's clear that Merkley would better represent the majority of Oregonians. Get Smith out of there!

At September 2, 2007 1:26 PM , Man with the Muck-rake said...

Don't count your [Democratic] chickens until the votes are vetted.


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