New M-D and Zogby Ohio Polls: Obama and Clinton in Statistical Tie
Submitted by Jeff on Sat, 03/01/2008 - 3:29pm.
The latest polling shows the Ohio primary between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama deadlocked just three days before the vote.
A Mason-Dixon poll taken February 27-29 for The Plain Dealer finds the gap between the candidates right at the 4 point margin of error:
47% Clinton
43% Obama
This poll shows Obama leading among African American voters by 83% to 8%, notably higher than the approximately 75% to 20% ratio reflected in other recent polls.
A poll released today by Zogby International, commissioned by Reuters, C-SPAN, and the Houston Chroncle, has the race exactly even (figures in parens from two days ago):
45% (44%) Clinton
45% (42%) Obama
1% (1%) Gravel
3% (5%) Someone Else
6% (9%) Not Sure
The latter poll has a margin of error of 3.8 ponts. It shows the "someone else/undecided" voters breaking decidedly for Obama over the last few days.
Pollster John Zogby comments on the tight race:
"In Ohio, Obama continued his march to catch Clinton in the race there, erasing her two-point lead in yesterday's tracking poll. The two are now tied - down to the tenth of a percent. As is the case in Texas, Obama leads in the big Democratic cities – Ohio’s Cleveland and Columbus, now the biggest city in Ohio where thousands of unionized state government employees live. Clinton's strength remains in the more rural areas, and among Catholics, an important demographic group in Ohio.
