Which Pollster Got It Right?

No big surprise, given results earlier in this cycle. Survey USA had it at 54% for Clinton, 44% for Obama, and that is exactly what happened.

Some others were very close. The Ohio Poll and PPP Poll had the race at 9 points.

Others were way off. Zogby had the race tied, and the Dispatch mail-in poll gave Clinton a 16 point advantage.

As for my prediction, I thought it would be a closer race, maybe 5 or 6 points.

Redfern Calls For New Florida and Michigan Contests

Speaking on Cleveland public radio station WCPN just now, Ohio Democratic Party Chair Chris Redfern called for new nominating contests in Michigan and Florida in early June. He thinks support for doing that will increase as a result of last night's outcomes.

He pointed out that Bill Clinton didn't win the nomination until June before his first run in 1992.

I'm not thrilled with the idea, but it is a lot better than seating the delegates chosen in the outlawed contests that already took place.

UPDATE: He also said that a number of Republican elected officials (mayors, apparently) switched their party affiliation to vote a Democratic ballot yesterday. The names will be revealed in the next few days.

Redfern just said that he will think for a few days about whether to endorse in the presidential race or stay neutral. The primary vote will be a major factor, but not the only factor, in his decision.

How Many Ohio Delegates Did Clinton Win?

The Plain Dealer is putting it at 71 for Clinton, 57 for Obama - a net gain of 14.

MSNBC puts it at 73 for Clinton, 62 for Obama, a net gain of 11.

Kos calculated it last night at 73 for Clinton, 68 for Obama, a net gain of five.

UPDATE: Bill Hershey of the Dayton Daily News calculates 75 for Clinton, 66 for Obama, a net gain of 9. He estimates a 48-44 split for the district-level delegates:

OH-01: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-02: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-03: Clinton 2, Obama 3
OH-04: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-05: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-06: Clinton 4, Obama 1
OH-07: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-08: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-09: Clinton 3, Obama 3
OH-10: Clinton 4, Obama 2
OH-11: Clinton 2, Obama 6
OH-12: Clinton 2, Obama 3
OH-13: Clinton 3, Obama 3
OH-14: Clinton 4, Obama 2
OH-15: Clinton 2, Obama 2
OH-16: Clinton 3, Obama 2
OH-17: Clinton 4, Obama 3
OH-18: Clinton 3, Obama 2

12th Dist. Ct of Appeals: High Vote Totals for Carter (D) and Curliss (D)

The 12th Court of Appeals District comprises heavily Republican Brown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette, Madison, Preble and Warren Counties. There hasn't been a Democrat on the bench there for at least 20 years, and there hasn't even been a Democratic candidate since 2000.

That's why judicial candidates Bruce Carter (D-Fairfield) and Laura Curliss (D-Wilmington) are very pleased this morning about their vote totals in uncontested primaries. Carter got 71,489 votes in his bid for a newly created seat against Robert Ringland (R), who got 83,759. Curliss got 72,675 votes, while Butler County Area III Judge Robert Hendrickson (R) got 57,298 votes to defeat Clinton County Common Pleas Mary McElwee (R), who got 37,892.

Those totals for the Democrats aren't larger than the GOP totals, but for this conservative district they are high, even historic. Carter's total is 85% of his GOP rival's total, and Curliss won 76% of the total votes cast on the GOP side in her race. This is very encouraging for the general election campaign for these very important judicial seats.

OH House-50: DeHoff (D) Edges Out Stevens (D)

In one of the tightest margins of the night, Tuscarawas Township trustee and assistant law director for Jackson Township Celeste DeHoff (D-Massillon) defeated former state representative, Lawrence Township trustee, and GIS liaison for the Stark County auditor's office Mike Stevens (D-Canal Fulton) by 236 votes:

37.68% 7,594 DeHoff
36.51% 7,358 Stevens

Attorney Todd Snitchler (R-Uniontown) easily defeated 19-year-old Christine Hagan (R-Alliance), daughter of term-limited incumbent John Hagan (R-Alliance), on the GOP side, 59% to 41%.

Clinton Wins Texas

CNN and MSNBC are declaring Texas for Clinton. So she wins decisively in Ohio and by a narrow margin in Texas, and the Democratic nomination fight goes on.

OH House-20: Garland (D) Prevails

With 89 of 109 precincts reporting, Nancy Garland (D) has 56.75% of the vote against repeat candidate Bev Campbell (D) in this closely watched primary.

OH-12: No Concession From Goodwin Yet

As of about midnight, Russ Goodwin (D) had not yet called to concede to evident winner David Robinson (D).

OH-16: Upset Special? Schuring (R) and Miller (R) Tied

With 72.66% of the vote counted, the Secretary of State shows State Sen. Kirk Schuring (R-North Canton) and County Commissioner Matt Miller (R-Ashland) almost tied at 44.86% to 44.39%. However, it appears that there are more uncounted votes from Stark County, the only one of the four counties in the district where Schuring is doing better than Miller, so the chances are that Schuring will pull out a narrow victory.

OH House-40: Winburn (D) Prevails Over Harris (D)

Party-endorsed Roland Winburn (D-Dayton) held off a stiff challenge from Vic Harris (D-Dayton) to earn the right to run for the seat of term-limited veteran legislator Fred Strahorn (D-Dayton). With 99.1% of the vote counted, Winburn has 55.87% of the vote and Harris has 44.13%.

OH-03: Mitakides (D) Wins Easily

Montgomery County is reporting 97% of the vote and shows Jane Mitakides (D) at 55.54% over Charles Sanders (D) at 32.49% and David Esrati (D) at 11.97%. The SOS site shows Mitakides comfortably ahead in Warren and Clinton Counties as well.

OH-14, OH-16, OH-18: Victories For O'Neill, Boccieri, and Space

In primaries that were not expected to be close, congratulations go to Bill O'Neill (D-South Russell), State Sen. John Boccieri (D-New Middletown), and Rep. Zack Space (D-Dover).

It looks like Space will be facing Fred Dailey (R-Mt Vernon).

OH-02: Wulsin (D) Defeats Black (D)

Victoria Wulsin (D-Indian Hill) will fend off the primary challenge of Steve Black (D-Indian Hill) and take another shot at Rep. Jean Schmidt (R-Loveland).

Hamilton County is showing only 20.11% of the vote counted, but Wulsin is leading there 5,442 votes to 1,555. Clermont is almost all in and Wulsin leads 12,342 to 6,993. Partial results in Adams, Scioto, and Warren show Wulsin leading almost 2 to 1, and Wulsin won Brown County 3,323 to 2,501.

UPDATE: Wulsin has declared victory and Black has conceded.

2nd UPDATE: With 70% of precincts reporting, Wulsin had won 38,665 votes to 31,927 for her Republican opponent, Rep. Jean Schmidt.

OH-07: Neuhardt (D) Headed to Win Over Conner (D)

Putting together results from various sources, attorney Sharen Neuhardt (D-Yellow Springs) looks like a winner over repeat candidate Bill Conner (D-Beavercreek). Neuhardt is leading in Clark County with 96% of the vote counted, 8,057 to 6,831. She won Greene County 8,297 to 4,713. In Franklin County, with 72 of 77 precincts reporting, Neuhardt is ahead 4,095 to 3,185. Fayette County is basically tied in early voting. Pickaway County went for Conner by 2,714 to 1,526. Ross County went for Connor 642 to 360. They are tied in Fairfield County in early voting. Perry is too early to call, but Neuhardt has over 40% of the vote so far.

All in all, it looks like the wide margin in Greene County puts Neuhardt over the top and she cruises to a win.

NBC Projects Clinton as Winner in Ohio

With over half the vote counted, Hillary Clinton has a healthy lead of about 57% to 41%. Of course, the final margin matters a great deal, and we have a while to wait for that.

Franklin Co. Comm'r: O'Grady (D) Will Win

In a closely watched county officer race, party-endorsed candidate and Clerk of Courts John O'Grady (D) looks to be headed to a convincing win over Cindy Lazarus (D). WIth 681 of 854 precincts reporting, O'Grady has 54.82% of the vote, Lazarus has 45.18%.

OH House-2: Lanier (D) Heading to Victory Over Wenzlaff (D)

Nurse and attorney Jan Lanier (D-Westerville) appears to be headed for a convincinb primary win over homemaker Kelly Wenzlaff (D-Powell) in the 2nd Ohio House District. With 92.37% of the vote counted in Delaware County, Lanier has 69.11% of the vote to 30.89% for Wenzlaff.

OH-12: Robinson (D) Looks Like A Winner Over Goodwin (D)

With 230 of 374 precincts reporting, the Franklin County Board of Elections shows David Robinson leading Russ Goodwin with 49.76% to 35.63% of the vote. Robinson is also ahead in Licking County with 52.72% to 33.98% at the SOS site. In Delaware County, with 92.37% of the vote counted, Robinson is ahead of Goodwin 51.13% to 34.03%.

OH House-20: Garland (D) With Substantial Early Lead

With 69 of 109 precincts reporting, Nancy Garland (D-New Albany) has a 53.54% to 46.46% lead over Bev Campbell (D-Gahanna).

DDN Exit Poll Says Blacks Went for Obama Almost 9-to-1

Wow. Dayton Daily News exit polling says African Americans went for Obama by 89% to 11%.

McCain Wins GOP Nomination

MSNBC projects that McCain has 1205 delegates, wrapping up the nomimation. George Bush will endorse him tomorrow, and Huckabee is expected to do so as well.

UPDATE: Huckabee concedes; watching it on MSNBC and CNN.

List of Cuyahoga County Precincts Open Until 9:00

Here is the list, courtesy of the Obama campaign (after the break).

Age Gap: Young Ohioans for Obama, Seniors for Clinton

Big, big age gap numbers, per CNN exit polling: under 29, 67% went for Obama; over 60, 63% for Clinton.

MSNBC Says Obama Campaign is Trying To Keep Polls Open in Cuyahoga County

Word just in - Obama campaign wants to keep Cuyahoga County polls open due to bad weather.

UPDATE: The Obama campaign has sent out an email message urging voters standing in line to stay in line:

With reports of lines at polling stations all over the state, the Obama for Ohio Campaign is urging voters to stay in line and vote.

Any voter who was in line by 7:30 and remains in line will be able to vote, no matter how long it takes to get through the line.

“Every vote counts in Ohio and we want to ensure that every voter has a chance to be heard,” said Ohio State Director Paul Tewes.

“We will continue to monitor the polls to ensure that all Ohioans who choose to participate in today’s election are able to do so regardless of who they choose to vote for.”

2nd UPDATE: Fifteen Cuyahoga County precincts will stay open until 9:00 p.m. This results from an order by a federal judge, sought by the Obama campaign, based on a shortage of Democratic ballots at those locations.

OH House-10: Rep. Eugene Miller on MSNBC

I happened to catch State Rep. Eugene Miller (D-Cleveland) on MSNBC about an hour ago. He was talking about the difficulty of holding the line for Clinton when most of his constituents in the heavily African American 10th Ohio House District were voting for Obama. He said that his primary opponent, Freddie Moore (D-Cleveland), was benefiting at the polls from having loudly proclaimed his (Moore's) support for Obama. As to whether he was supporting Clinton due to the influence of Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D-Cleveland), Miller conceded that he is a "good trooper." However, when Miller was asked if he would withdraw his support for Clinton if Tubbs Jones did, Miller turned the tables on his questioners by answering, "As Tubbs Jones goes, so goes Hillary Clinton." Chris Matthews and Keith Olbermann both praised that as a skillful answer.

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